OMAHA (DTN) -- U.S. corn and soybean crop
conditions each declined 1 percentage point from the previous week,
according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released Monday.
A big heatwave will expand across the eastern
half of the country this week, bringing extremely hot and humid
conditions while drying out overly wet areas and shifting rain chances
north, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.
CORN
-- Crop development: Corn silking was pegged
at 9%, 2 percentage points ahead of last year's 7% and 3 percentage
points ahead of the five-year average of 6%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 67% of
the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, 1 point below the previous
week and 6 points below last year's 73%. Eight percent of the crop was
rated very poor to poor, 2 points above the previous week's 6% and 3
points above previous year of 5%. DTN Senior Analyst Dana Mantini noted
that top-producing Iowa's corn crop remained rated 78% good to
excellent, compared to just 60% in Illinois.
SOYBEANS
-- Crop development: 96% of soybeans had
emerged as of Sunday, 3 points ahead of last year's pace and 1 point
ahead of the five-year average of 95%. Soybeans blooming was pegged at
19%, 3 points ahead of last year's 16% and 4 points ahead of the
five-year average of 15%. Soybeans setting pods was estimated at 4%, 1
point ahead of last year and up 2 points from the five-year average of
2%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 65% of
soybeans that had emerged were in good-to-excellent condition, 1 point
below the previous week and previous year of 66%. Iowa's soybean crop
was rated 75% good to excellent, compared to 78% in Minnesota and 55% in
Illinois, Mantini said.
WINTER WHEAT
-- Harvest progress: Harvest moved ahead 8
percentage points last week to reach 48% complete nationwide as of
Sunday. That was 14 points ahead of last year's 34% and 9 points ahead
of the five-year average pace of 39%. Mantini said the rapid pace is
indicative of thin stands and high abandonment rates for hard red crops
in the drought-affected Southern Plains. Meanwhile, Texas' winter wheat
is at 82% complete, 3 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of
the five-year average of 80%. Oklahoma harvest reached 98% complete
compared to 95% last week, 32 points ahead of last year's 66% and 17
points ahead of the five-year average of 81%.
-- Crop condition: An estimated 26% of winter
wheat was rated good to excellent as of June 28, steady with the
previous week and 22 points below 48% a year ago, according to NASS.
SPRING WHEAT
-- Crop development: Thirty-two percent of
spring wheat was headed, 3 points behind last year's pace of 35% and 2
points below the five-year average of 34%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 59% of
the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, up 5 points from
54% the previous week.
THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER
This week's heatwave could benefit many areas
by drying excessive moisture in the South and boosting rain chances in
the Northern Plains and northern Corn Belt, though the Central and
Southern Plains may see increasing crop stress, according to DTN Ag
Meteorologist John Baranick,
"A big heatwave has already started to move
into the middle of the country on Monday and will be expanding across
the eastern half throughout the week," Baranick said. "Extremely hot and
humid conditions with a lot of highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s, and
dew point temperatures in the 70s would normally be a major cause of
concern ahead of corn pollination. However, this may be the type of
heatwave the country needs.
"First of all, it will leave areas across the
South and Southeast much drier this week. Areas that have been
excessively wet will get a chance to use up some of that water or have
ponding dry out with the extreme heat.
"Secondly, the heat will push the storm track
to the north, giving multiple opportunities for some of the drier areas
of the Northern Plains and northern Corn Belt to get some heavy
precipitation. We will have to watch out for severe weather every day,
but we should get multiple opportunities to provide some relief. We'll
also see some spotty showers developing across the Delta, Southeast and
into the Midwest later this week as the humidity peaks.
"Areas that will more likely be left out of
the better conditions will be in the Central and Southern Plains. The
heat will be in play for most areas, but precipitation will be very
spotty. We could see some significant stresses developing for crops this
week. It may be more beneficial to continue the wheat harvest, though.
"The heatwave comes to an end with a system
that moves through over the holiday weekend and into early next week.
Temperatures will return to a more summer-like heat, but we'll see
showers continuing next week as well."
| National Crop Progress Summary |
| |
This |
Last |
Last |
5-Year |
| |
Week |
Week |
Year |
Avg. |
| Corn silking |
9 |
5 |
7 |
6 |
| Soybeans emerged |
96 |
93 |
93 |
95 |
| Soybeans blooming |
19 |
9 |
16 |
15 |
| Soybeans setting pods |
4 |
NA |
3 |
2 |
| Winter wheat harvested |
48 |
40 |
34 |
39 |
| Spring wheat headed |
32 |
16 |
35 |
34 |
| Cotton planted |
97 |
92 |
95 |
97 |
| Cotton squaring |
37 |
27 |
38 |
36 |
| Cotton setting bolls |
9 |
5 |
8 |
9 |
| Sorghum planted |
91 |
84 |
91 |
92 |
| Sorghum headed |
19 |
NA |
17 |
19 |
| Oats headed |
74 |
61 |
72 |
70 |
| Barley headed |
39 |
20 |
32 |
32 |
| Rice headed |
19 |
13 |
18 |
14 |
| Peanuts pegging |
38 |
23 |
39 |
37 |
**
| National Crop Condition Summary |
|
|
|
| (VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent) |
| |
VP |
P |
F |
G |
E |
| Corn |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
2 |
6 |
25 |
53 |
14 |
| Prev Week |
1 |
5 |
26 |
56 |
12 |
| Prev Year |
1 |
4 |
22 |
58 |
15 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
5 |
10 |
26 |
46 |
13 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Soybeans |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
2 |
6 |
27 |
55 |
10 |
| Prev Week |
1 |
5 |
28 |
56 |
10 |
| Prev Year |
2 |
5 |
27 |
55 |
11 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
4 |
10 |
28 |
47 |
11 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Spring Wheat |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
1 |
6 |
34 |
55 |
4 |
| Prev Week |
1 |
5 |
40 |
50 |
4 |
| Prev Year |
1 |
13 |
33 |
48 |
5 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
8 |
16 |
29 |
40 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Winter Wheat |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
21 |
26 |
27 |
22 |
4 |
| Prev Week |
20 |
26 |
28 |
22 |
4 |
| Prev Year |
6 |
14 |
32 |
41 |
7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
14 |
18 |
31 |
32 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Rice |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
1 |
3 |
22 |
56 |
18 |
| Prev Week |
0 |
2 |
27 |
55 |
16 |
| Prev Year |
0 |
2 |
18 |
56 |
24 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
1 |
3 |
22 |
58 |
17 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Oats |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
8 |
13 |
27 |
45 |
7 |
| Prev Week |
7 |
12 |
28 |
47 |
6 |
| Prev Year |
6 |
9 |
24 |
54 |
7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
7 |
9 |
30 |
48 |
6 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Barley |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
1 |
7 |
40 |
49 |
3 |
| Prev Week |
1 |
5 |
45 |
47 |
2 |
| Prev Year |
1 |
11 |
45 |
41 |
2 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
1 |
7 |
39 |
48 |
4 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Peanuts |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
2 |
6 |
30 |
56 |
6 |
| Prev Week |
2 |
5 |
30 |
58 |
5 |
| Prev Year |
0 |
3 |
25 |
62 |
10 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
2 |
8 |
32 |
51 |
7 |
| |
|
|
|
|
|
| Cotton |
|
|
|
|
|
| This Week |
4 |
12 |
36 |
41 |
7 |
| Prev Week |
3 |
10 |
34 |
45 |
8 |
| Prev Year |
5 |
12 |
32 |
44 |
7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg |
12 |
17 |
30 |
34 |
6 |
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