Monday, June 30, 2025

USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report - Corn Rated 73% Good to Excellent, Soybeans 66% Good to Excellent as of June 29

OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. corn crop increased slightly while soybean conditions remained steady last week, USDA NASS reported in its weekly Crop Progress report on Monday.

Multiple weather systems will maintain the pattern of scattered showers and thunderstorms across the central and eastern U.S. this week, with some areas receiving heavy downpours while others remain relatively dry, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

CORN

-- Crop development: Corn silking was pegged at 8%, 2 percentage points behind of last year's 10% but 2 percentage points ahead of the five-year average of 6%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 73% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, up 3 points from 70% the previous week and 6 points ahead of last year's 67%. Five percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, down 1 point from 6% the previous week and lower than 9% last year. Iowa corn is rated 85% good to excellent, Nebraska is at 77% and Illinois is at 71%.

SOYBEANS

-- Crop development: 94% of soybeans had emerged as of Sunday, consistent with last year but 1 point behind of the five-year average of 95%. Soybeans blooming was pegged at 17%, 1 point behind of last year's 18% but 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 16%. Soybeans setting pods was estimated at 3%, also equal to last year and up 1 point from the five-year average of 2%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 66% of soybeans were in good-to-excellent condition, unchanged from the previous week and 1 point below 67% last year. Seven percent of soybeans were rated very poor to poor, unchanged from the previous week and 1 point below last year's 8%.

WINTER WHEAT

-- Harvest progress: Harvest maintained a steady pace last week, moving ahead 18 percentage points to reach 37% complete nationwide Sunday. That was 15 points behind of last year's 52% and 5 points behind of the five-year average pace of 42%. Texas' winter wheat is 80% complete, 5 points behind last year and the five-year average pace of 85%. Oklahoma made a big jump to reach 71% complete compared to 35% the previous week, but is 28 points behind last year's 99% and 17 points behind the five-year average of 88%.

-- Crop condition: 48% of the crop remaining in fields was rated in good-to-excellent condition, down 1 point from 49% the previous week and 3 points below from 51% a year ago, according to NASS.

SPRING WHEAT

-- Crop development: 96% of spring wheat has emerged, 4 points behind 100% from last year and the five-year average. 38% of the crop was headed, which is 3 points ahead of last year's 35% and 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 37%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 53% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, down 1 point from 54% the previous week and 19 points down from 72% last year. Eighty-seven percent of spring wheat in Minnesota was rated in good-to-excellent condition, and 69% of the North Dakota crop was considered good to excellent.

THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER

Active weather patterns continue to bring widespread rainfall across most areas east of the Rockies this week, creating challenging conditions for winter wheat harvest and potentially worsening already-saturated southeastern areas, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

"Active weather continues to be the case across most of the U.S., even when the upper-level pattern is changing," Baranick said. "It doesn't seem to matter what the presentation is, we still get a lot of rainfall east of the Rockies. That continues to be true this week as well. We've got one front sweeping through the country early this week and bringing widespread showers and thunderstorms, a continuation from the weekend farther northwest. Though it does get a little quieter behind that front, some showers will be possible across the north and then another system will move into the Plains on Thursday and slow-walk itself across the middle of the country through the holiday weekend.

"Showers and thunderstorms continue to move in clusters though, leaving some areas drier while others get a massive soaking. We've had more issues with wetness than dryness this season so far though, and that includes in the Plains that are trying to harvest their winter wheat. It may be more of a struggle in some areas again this week. It's also been too wet in the Southeast and the front that sweeps through the country this week will stall from the northern Gulf to the Atlantic just off the coast of the Carolinas. That will be a spot to watch for a potential tropical storm developing later this week or weekend as well, which may bring even more heavy rain into areas that don't need it.

"The only large area of dryness is found west of the Rockies and particularly in the Pacific Northwest where a lack of rain has increased drought conditions in recent weeks. Some spotty showers will be possible there this week, but not a lot and temperatures will be hot early this week. They'll get a little break later this week and weekend, but then that heat will increase again next week, leading to poor conditions for wheat and specialty crops in the region."


National Crop Progress Summary
This Last Last 5-Year
Week Week Year Avg.
Corn Silking 8 4 10 6
Soybeans Emerged 94 90 94 95
Soybeans Blooming 17 8 18 16
Soybeans Setting Pods 3 NA 3 2
Winter Wheat Harvested 37 19 52 42
Spring Wheat Emerged 96 93 100 100
Spring Wheat Headed 38 17 35 37
Cotton Planted 95 92 97 98
Cotton Squaring 40 26 41 37
Cotton Setting Bolls 9 5 11 9
Sorghum Planted 92 84 95 94
Sorghum Headed 18 14 19 20
Oats Headed 74 60 72 72
Barley Emerged 96 94 99 99
Barley Headed 35 17 34 37
Rice Headed 19 13 17 14
Peanuts Pegging 41 26 42 39
Sunflowers Planted 97 91 96 96

**

National Crop Condition Summary
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
This Week Last Week Last Year
VP P F G E VP P F G E VP P F G E
Corn 1 4 22 58 15 2 4 24 56 14 3 6 24 52 15
Soybeans 2 5 27 55 11 2 5 27 56 10 2 6 25 55 12
Winter Wheat 6 14 32 41 7 6 13 32 43 6 5 10 34 41 10
Spring Wheat 1 13 33 48 5 3 12 31 49 5 1 3 24 61 11
Rice NA 2 18 56 24 NA 2 20 57 21 1 2 15 67 15
Oats 6 9 24 54 7 7 9 27 49 8 6 5 22 57 10
Barley 1 11 45 41 2 1 14 43 40 2 1 4 31 60 4
Cotton 5 12 32 44 7 6 14 33 41 6 8 9 33 44 6
Peanuts NA 3 25 62 10 1 4 23 64 8 3 9 35 49 4
Sorghum 2 5 29 53 11 2 4 33 51 19 3 5 34 50 8




May Ag Prices Received Index Up 1.7 Percent, Prices Paid Up 0.4 Percent

May Prices Received Index Up 1.7 Percent  

The May Prices Received Index 2011 Base (Agricultural Production), at 140.1, increased 1.7 percent from April and 13 percent from May 2024. At 103.1, the Crop Production Index was up 2.3 percent from last month but down 0.9 percent from the previous year. The Livestock Production Index, at 170.5, increased 1.4 percent from April and 20 percent from May last year. Producers received higher prices during May for cattle, hogs, oranges, and milk but lower prices for  market eggs, lettuce, strawberries, and broilers. In addition to prices, the volume change of commodities marketed also influences the indexes. In May, there was increased monthly movement for cattle, hay, broilers, and sweet corn and decreased marketing of soybeans, calves, hogs, and apples.  

May Prices Paid Index Up 0.4 Percent  

The May Prices Paid Index for Commodities and Services, Interest, Taxes, and Farm Wage Rates (PPITW), at 149.2, is up 0.4 percent from April 2025 and 6.4 percent from May 2024. Higher prices in May for feeder cattle, other services,  hay & forages, and nitrogen more than offset lower prices for feeder pigs, LP gas, self-propelled machinery, and  complete feeds. 






Bureau of Reclamation, Pacific Northwest Region - Storage Reservoirs in the Upper Snake River (6/30)



Average daily streamflows indicated in cubic feet per second.
Reservoir levels current as of midnight on date indicated.

Upper Snake River system is at 77 % of capacity.
(Jackson Lake,Palisades, Grassy Lake,Island Park,Ririe,American Falls,LakeWalcott)
  
Total space available:933061 AF
Total storage capacity:4045695 AF




Thursday, June 26, 2025

This Week's Drought Summary (6/26)

This week, widespread degradations occurred in the Northwest United States, where despite slightly cooler and wetter conditions this week, rapid drying continued to be a problem. In the central Great Plains and Midwest, scattered heavier rains led to improving drought or dryness conditions in some areas, especially in northern Missouri and Iowa, while some others who missed out on the heavier rains saw degrading conditions amid hotter-than-normal temperatures. In Florida, a mix of localized improvements and degradations occurred; scattered heavy rains improved the situation for some, while other areas that missed the heavy rain saw short- and long-term precipitation deficits grow amid worsening fire danger. After recent heavy rain, a small area west of Baltimore saw improvement to long-term moderate drought, while the most of the rest of the Northeast remained free of drought or abnormal dryness, with a small area of long-term moderate drought on Cape Cod continuing this week. A mix of improvements and degradations occurred in Texas following heavier rains last week in the south-central part of the state but drier weather in the Midland-Odessa area this week. Localized improvements occurred in areas of heavy rainfall on the eastern plains of New Mexico. Please note that any rain that fell from mid-Tuesday morning onward will be considered in next week’s map.

In Alaska, short-term abnormal dryness and moderate drought developed and expanded in parts of central Alaska, where short-term precipitation deficits built and fire danger increased.

In Hawaii, localized improvements and degradations occurred after an overall drier week with trade-wind showers on the windward sides of the islands.

In Puerto Rico, abnormal dryness developed along the northwest and south-central coasts where short-term precipitation deficits grew amid crop stress and decreasing groundwater levels.



Northeast

Warmer-than-normal temperatures occurred in the Northeast this week, with many areas reaching 2-8 degrees above normal for the week. Scattered rainfall amounts over 2 inches fell in parts of Maryland, western Pennsylvania, central New York and Maine, though most areas were already free of drought or abnormal dryness. Long-term moderate drought decreased slightly in coverage west of Baltimore after recent heavier rain amounts lessened long-term drought impacts there.

Southeast

Scattered heavier rains fell across the Florida Peninsula and in western Georgia and Alabama this week, otherwise the weather was mostly drier. Temperatures generally leaned a couple degrees above normal, except for Alabama (mostly near normal) and the Carolinas, which were mostly 2-6 degrees warmer than normal. Before this week, conditions had been wet across the region (outside of Florida) such that no drought or abnormal dryness developed despite the drier week. In the Florida Peninsula, scattered heavy rains (locally in excess of 5 inches) fell, leading to some improvements in ongoing drought. Some areas that missed out on the heavier rains, especially in the southeast coastal area of the Peninsula, saw conditions degrade as rainfall deficits and fire danger grew. Notably, a localized area of short- and long-term extreme drought developed near Palm Beach, indicative of localized high atmospheric thirst, fire danger, and very large long-term precipitation shortfalls.

South

Despite very hot weather this week in most of the region, widespread improvement occurred in northern Indiana, northern Illinois, southern Wisconsin, northern Missouri, Iowa and northeast Minnesota after heavy rains this week improved soil moisture conditions and tempered precipitation deficits. From northwest Missouri to southern Wisconsin, rainfall amounts were locally in excess of 5 inches. Further rains that fell after mid-Tuesday morning will be accounted for next week. In the Kansas City, Missouri and Urbana-Champaign, Illinois areas, abnormal dryness grew in coverage as soil moisture and streamflow dropped amid growing short-term precipitation deficits. Abnormal dryness also grew in coverage near Grand Rapids, Michigan, where short-term precipitation deficits and soil moisture deficits grew.

Midwest

Temperatures across the South region this week ranged from near-normal to 2-6 degrees warmer than normal in most of the region. Heavy rains fell in parts of central and northern Oklahoma, Tennessee, northeast Arkansas, Mississippi, and the western Texas and Oklahoma Panhandles. Most of central and south-central Texas had drier weather this week. Despite the dry weather there, some improvements to the Drought Monitor occurred in south-central Texas as the impact of recent heavy rains continued to be evaluated. A small increase in abnormal dryness and moderate drought occurred in the Midland-Odessa area due to growing short-term precipitation deficits and decreasing soil moisture and streamflow. Outside of Texas, the rest of the South remained free of drought or abnormal dryness.

High Plains

In Nebraska and Kansas, scattered heavy rains fell in parts of both states, especially in central and eastern areas, leading to localized improvements to ongoing drought and abnormal dryness. In some areas that missed heavier rains this week, temperatures ranging from 4-8 degrees hotter than normal led to degrading conditions, as streamflow and soil moisture levels dropped. Long-term drought over the last few years has continued to take a toll on trees in eastern Nebraska, as the bur oak, elm, hackberry, ash and red oak populations saw increased mortality or significant loss in canopy. Short- and long-term precipitation deficits continued to grow in parts of northern Colorado, which along with drops in soil moisture and streamflow led to localized worsening of drought or abnormal dryness. Meanwhile, heavier rains in the last couple of weeks in southeast Wyoming led to improving conditions there. The western half of Wyoming, in contrast, has continued to see rapid drying, leading to poor vegetation health and locally decreasing streamflow and soil moisture. Moderate and severe drought grew in coverage in parts of southwest Wyoming, while abnormal dryness grew in coverage northeast of Yellowstone National Park.



West

Predominantly cooler temperatures occurred in the West this week, with many areas west of Utah, Arizona and Wyoming seeing temperatures range from 2-8 degrees cooler than normal. Despite the cooler weather this week, the drying trend continued across much of the Northwest states, with abnormal dryness and moderate and severe drought significantly growing in coverage in northern portions of Utah and Nevada, northeast California, far western Montana, Idaho and southeast portions of Oregon and Washington. In these areas, short-term precipitation deficits are growing, streamflow is lower in spots, vegetation is struggling and soil moisture deficits are developing. Near the end of the week, scattered heavy rains fell in the eastern plains of New Mexico, leading to localized improvements in drought and abnormal dryness. The impact of these rains on the rest of the water cycle, as well as any further rain, will be further evaluated next week.



Caribbean

In Puerto Rico, abnormal dryness developed along the northwest and south-central coasts where short-term precipitation deficits grew amid crop stress and decreasing groundwater levels.

Across the U.S. Virgin Islands, mostly dry weather prevailed for the third consecutive week, following a wet May. During June, month-to-date rainfall at an assortment of official and volunteer (CoCoRaHS) observation sites has generally ranged from 0.50 to 2.00 inches. The 1-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI) indicates that abnormal dryness may be imminent, especially if drier-than-normal conditions persist. For now, some vegetation is just starting to exhibit mild stress, while groundwater levels remain mostly stable. On St. John, however, depth to water at the U.S. Geological Survey’s Susannaberg DPW 3 well increased to 10.8 feet by June 24, the greatest depth at any time in the last year.

Pacific

In Alaska, short-term abnormal dryness and moderate drought developed and expanded in parts of central Alaska, where short-term precipitation deficits built and fire danger increased.

Short- and long-term severe drought grew slightly in coverage on Molokai where vegetation impacts worsened amid growing precipitation deficits. Vegetation impacts improved in west-central portions of the Big Island coast, and in northwest portions of the island, leading to improvements there. Along the northeast coast, short- and long-term severe drought expanded slightly where vegetation conditions worsened.

In the U.S.-Affiliated Pacific Islands, most of the consequential drought remained focused across the Marianas and the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI). Drought-free conditions existed across American Samoa and the Republic of Palau, while drought in the Federated States of Micronesia (FSM) was limited to Pingelap. In fact, Pingelap, currently experiencing extreme drought (D3), has noted weekly rainfall totals greater than an inch only twice since mid-April. Elsewhere in the FSM, abnormal dryness (D0) was removed from Lukunor, following more than 6 inches of rain in the last 2 weeks. Meanwhile in the RMI, abnormal dryness (D0) was retained for Majuro due to low reservoir levels, despite weekly rainfall totaling 4.56 inches. Majuro began the month with reservoir storage of 18.9 million gallons (53% of capacity), a number that slightly improved to nearly 22.0 million gallons (61% of capacity) by June 24. Across the remainder of the RMI, light to moderately heavy showers were insufficient to improve the drought situation for Ailinglapalap (D1, or moderate drought), Kwajalein (D1), Jaluit (D2, or severe drought), Wotje (D3, or extreme drought), and Utirik (D3). Finally, Tropical Storm Sepat moved north of the Marianas, with minimal impacts. Despite the nearby tropical activity, the Marianas received mostly light showers through the end of the drought-monitoring period. Consequently, the moderate drought (D1) depiction was retained for Guam. Farther north, severe drought (D2) persisted for Rota, while D2 was introduced for Tinian. Nine of the last 12 weeks on Tinian have featured rainfall totaling less than one-half inch. Adjacent to Tinian, extreme drought (D3) continued across Saipan.

Looking Ahead

The National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center forecast through the evening of Monday, June 30, shows mostly dry weather in the West, especially for areas west of the Continental Divide. Drier weather is also expected in western North Dakota and Montana, most of Texas, Arkansas and western Louisiana, and in the eastern Carolinas. Rainfall in excess of 1 inch is forecast in parts of eastern Kansas and Nebraska, the eastern Dakotas, the Upper Midwest, the Northeast, the eastern half of the Gulf Coast and the Florida Peninsula.

For July 1-5, the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center outlook favors above-normal precipitation across Alaska, Hawaii and most of the Contiguous United States. The highest confidence for above-normal precipitation during this period is centered on Arizona, New Mexico, southwest Texas, Utah and Colorado as monsoonal moisture streams into the region. Cooler-than-normal temperatures are favored in southeast Arizona, New Mexico, western Texas and southern Colorado, while near-normal temperatures are favored from the central Great Plains into the Great Lakes. Within the Contiguous United States, warmer-than-normal temperatures are favored elsewhere, with the highest confidence for this residing in the Northwest, western Gulf Coast, and Mid-Atlantic. Warmer-than-normal temperatures are favored across most of Hawaii. Warmer-than-normal temperatures are also favored from southwest to north-central Alaska (excluding the Aleutian Islands), while cooler-than-normal weather is favored in the extreme northwest reaches of Alaska and in the southeast portion of the state.




Monday, June 23, 2025

USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report - Corn Rated 70% Good to Excellent; Soybeans 96% Planted, 66% Good to Excellent as of June 22

OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. corn crop decreased slightly while soybean conditions were unchanged, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released on Monday.

Despite strong winds that flattened some corn fields last week, the combination of widespread rainfall and current warm temperatures should generally support crop development across most areas with adequate soil moisture, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

CORN

-- Crop development: 97% of corn had emerged as of Sunday, 1 point ahead of last year's 96% but 1 point behind of the five-year average of 98%. Corn silking was pegged at 4%, consistent with last year and 1 percentage point ahead of the five-year average of 3%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 70% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, down 2 points from 72% the previous week and 1 point ahead of last year's 69%. "Illinois and Iowa are at 74% and 83% good to excellent," noted DTN Senior Analyst Dana Mantini.

SOYBEANS

-- Planting progress: Soybean planting moved ahead 3 points to reach 96% complete as of Sunday. That is consistent with last year and 1 point behind of the five-year average of 97%.

-- Crop development: 90% of soybeans had emerged as of Sunday, 1 point ahead of last year's 89% and consistent with the five-year average. Soybeans blooming were pegged at 8%, 1 point ahead of last year's and the five-year average of 7%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 66% of soybeans that had emerged were in good-to-excellent condition, unchanged from the previous week and 1 point below 67% last year. "Illinois is 61% good to excellent with Iowa at 77%," Mantini said.

WINTER WHEAT

-- Crop development: 96% of winter wheat was headed nationwide as of Sunday. That was 1 point behind of 97% at this time last year and consistent with the five-year average.

-- Harvest progress: Harvest moved ahead 9 percentage point last week to reach 19% complete nationwide as of Sunday. That was 19 points behind last year's 38% and 9 points behind the five-year average pace of 28%. Oklahoma's winter wheat harvest is at 35% complete, which is 58 points behind last year's pace of 93% and 38 points behind the five-year average of 73%.

-- Crop condition: 49% of the crop remaining in fields was rated in good-to-excellent condition, down 3 points from 52% the previous week and year.

SPRING WHEAT

-- Crop development: 93% of spring wheat has emerged, 6 points behind 99% last year and 4 points behind the five-year average of 97%. 17% of the crop was headed, which is 1 point ahead of last year's 16%, but 1 point behind the five-year average of 18%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 54% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, down 3 points from 57% the previous week and 17 points down from 71% last year.

THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER

A heat ridge settling over the Eastern U.S. this week will bring temperatures into the 90s, which should actually benefit crop development in most areas with adequate soil moisture following last week's widespread rainfall, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

"Last week was another week of widespread rainfall across most areas of the country east of the Rockies," Baranick said. "Some areas were left out, but the vast majority of the country saw rain, which was a good thing for some areas, not for others that are either too wet or needing it to dry out to harvest winter crops. Going along with the widespread rainfall, we saw a lot of strong winds midweek across the Midwest that flattened corn. It was likely early enough for most of that to stand back up, but could affect crop ratings for a little bit while it recovers. And we saw a near derecho move through North Dakota Friday night where strong winds over 100 miles per hour produced widespread wind damage mostly to infrastructure.

"That severe event occurred on the northern end of a ridge of high pressure that brought extreme heat into the Plains where temperatures eclipsed the century mark for a couple of days. That ridge has parked itself across the Eastern U.S. where it will be stuck all week long. Temperatures will be in the 90s and that normally would mean a lot of stress. But for the vast majority of the country with ample soil moisture, the heat will actually be a good thing, promoting crop development and growth.

"A front moved into the Plains on Sunday and is getting stuck as the heat ridge to the east will be stout. That front currently stretches from the Central Plains into the Upper Midwest. The front will extend across the Great Lakes into the Northeast along the edge of the ridge for much of the week, being a focal point for multiple rounds of showers and thunderstorms, which could produce some severe weather and heavy downpours throughout the week. Flow coming north from the Gulf will mean spotty showers developing in the heat throughout the week as well. Most areas will stay dry, but where showers occur could produce heavy downpours. The front will try to move eastward this weekend but largely fizzle out. But another system moving through Canada will drag a front through the Plains and Upper Midwest this weekend into next week with more opportunities for rainfall and easing of temperatures. Overall, it continues to be a mostly favorable weather pattern for crop development over the next week."

National Crop Progress Summary
This Last Last 5-Year
Week Week Year Avg.
Corn Emerged 97 94 96 98
Corn Silking 4 NA 4 3
Soybeans Planted 96 93 96 97
Soybeans Emerged 90 84 89 90
Soybeans Blooming 8 NA 7 7
Winter Wheat Headed 96 93 97 96
Winter Wheat Harvested 19 10 38 28
Spring Wheat Emerged 93 89 99 97
Spring Wheat Headed 17 4 16 18
Cotton Planted 92 85 93 95
Cotton Squaring 26 19 29 26
Cotton Setting Bolls 5 3 8 6
Sorghum Planted 84 69 89 87
Sorghum Headed 14 NA 17 17
Oats Headed 60 49 59 60
Barley Emerged 94 89 94 97
Barley Headed 17 5 11 17
Rice Headed 13 6 12 8
Peanuts Pegging 26 13 28 25
Sunflowers Planted 91 78 92 91

**

National Crop Condition Summary
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
This Week Last Week Last Year
VP P F G E VP P F G E VP P F G E
Corn 2 4 24 56 14 1 4 23 59 13 2 5 24 55 14
Soybeans 2 5 27 56 10 2 5 27 56 10 2 6 25 56 11
Winter Wheat 6 13 32 43 6 6 13 29 45 7 5 10 33 42 10
Spring Wheat 3 12 31 49 5 NA 9 34 53 4 1 3 25 64 7
Rice NA 2 20 57 21 NA 2 24 55 19 1 1 15 67 16
Oats 7 9 27 49 8 6 10 28 47 9 6 5 22 57 10
Barley 1 14 43 40 2 1 12 42 43 2 1 2 29 65 3
Cotton 6 14 33 41 6 6 13 33 43 5 5 9 30 51 5
Peanuts 1 4 23 64 8 NA 4 28 61 7 2 7 32 56 3
Sorghum 2 4 33 51 19 NA NA NA NA NA 2 4 33 54 7





Bureau of Reclamation, Pacific Northwest Region - Storage Reservoirs in the Upper Snake River (6/23)

 



Average daily streamflows indicated in cubic feet per second.
Reservoir levels current as of midnight on date indicated.

Upper Snake River system is at 82 % of capacity.
(Jackson Lake,Palisades, Grassy Lake,Island Park,Ririe,American Falls,LakeWalcott)
  
Total space available:711115 AF
Total storage capacity:4045695 AF




Thursday, June 19, 2025

This Week's Drought Summary (6/19)

Active weather east of the Rockies led to significant reductions in drought coverage, especially in Florida, Texas, the northern and central Plains, and the upper Midwest. Amid early-summer showers, drought-free conditions largely continued from the southern Plains to the Atlantic Coast, excluding parts of Florida. Meanwhile, a Western hot spell—accompanied by short-term dryness across roughly the northern half of the region—was manifested in rapidly developing soil moisture shortages, declining prospects for summer water supplies, an elevated wildfire threat, a boost in irrigation demands, and increased stress on rain-fed crops.



Northeast

The monitoring period began with just over 4% of the Northeast experiencing abnormal dryness (D0) or moderate drought (D1), and that number fell slightly due to ongoing wet weather, especially in Maryland and southern Pennsylvania. In fact, too much rain fell in some areas, with deadly flash flooding striking Ohio County, West Virginia, on the night of June 14-15.

Southeast

Drought was eliminated from all Southeastern States, except Florida, as showers and thunderstorms peppered the region on multiple days. Even most of Florida experienced drought relief, with extreme drought (D3) being eliminated. However, pockets of severe drought (D2) persisted across Florida’s peninsula, and there was even some expansion of moderate drought (D1) along and near Florida’s east coast, where recent rainfall has been light.

South

Downpours in parts of Texas, the only state in the region still experiencing drought, delivered significant relief but also sparked flooding. In fact, deadly flash flooding struck the San Antonio area on June 12, when the official airport observation site received 6.11 inches—the second-wettest June day on record in that location, behind only 6.18 inches on June 3, 1951. San Antonio also set a one-hour station rainfall record for any time of year, with 3.98 inches falling from 3 to 4 am CDT. In drought-affected areas where heavier rain fell, some of the water was lost due to runoff, rather than absorption into parched soils. Additionally, groundwater and aquifer depletion in south-central Texas and neighboring areas has developed over many years—and will require much more than a singular heavy-rainfall event for replenishment.

Midwest

The drought-monitoring period began with drought covering less than 9% of the Midwest. Showers and thunderstorms chipped away at existing dryness (D0) and moderate to severe drought (D1 to D2), although not all areas received significant rain. Some of the most substantial drought relief occurred in the upper Great Lakes region and parts of the western Corn Belt. On June 15, Iowa led the Midwest with topsoil moisture rated 27% very short to short, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture.

High Plains

Rain-related drought improvement dominated the High Plains, although some significant drought-related agricultural problems persisted. By June 15, statewide topsoil moisture ratings on the High Plains ranged from 19% very short to short in Kansas to 50% in Wyoming, according to the U.S. Department of Agriculture. Wyoming led the region on that date with 36% of its rangeland and pastures rated in very poor to poor condition, followed by Nebraska at 30%. Elsewhere, significant rain bypassed a few areas, including northeastern North Dakota, where moderate drought (D1) expanded.



West

In contrast to areas east of the Rockies, mostly dry weather dominated the West during the drought-monitoring period. Rapid surface drying and prematurely melting (or melted) snowpack had led to a variety of agricultural and water-supply issues and concerns. The Northwest has been especially dry in recent weeks, with topsoil moisture—as reported by the U.S. Department of Agriculture on June 15—rated 65% very short to short in Montana, along with 56% in Oregon and 45% in Washington. Unlike Oregon and Washington, Montana received some much-needed precipitation in mid-June—but continued to experience agricultural drought impacts. For example, Montana’s rangeland and pastures were rated 46% in very poor to poor condition on June 15. Among major production states, Montana led the nation on that date in very poor to poor ratings for spring wheat (28% of the crop) and barley (25%). Meanwhile, among several early-season Northwestern wildfires was the 3,600-acre Rowena Fire near The Dalles, Oregon, which has destroyed more than 150 structures, including several dozen homes.



Caribbean

In Puerto Rico, drought-free conditions continued, with the commonwealth having experienced neither dryness nor drought since November 5, 2024.

It was another dry week for the U.S. Virgin Islands with only trace amounts of precipitation based on CoCoRaHS observations. Groundwater levels continued to drop, with St. John (Susannaberg Dpw 3) and St. Thomas (Grade School 3) wells dropped 2.0 feet and 3.4 feet, respectively, over the past month. Short-term indicators are beginning to show a slight dry signal. Mid- to long-term indicators still show normal or surplus amounts in most locations, as shown by the greenness observed in the Vegetation Health Index (VHI). All islands remain free of drought or abnormal dryness.

Pacific

An existing area of abnormal dryness (D0) was removed from south-central Alaska, but two new, small areas of D0 were introduced across the interior, amid the first hot spell of the season and a locally increased risk of wildfire activity.

In Hawaii, seasonably dry weather prevailed. There were few changes in the Hawaiian drought depiction, although a small amount of abnormal dryness (D0) was added to windward sections of Kauai and Oahu.

The record wettest year –to date continued for American Samoa, which received decent precipitation this week. In Pago Pago, at least 0.43 inches of rain fell this week. On Siufaga Ridge, 1.63 inches of rain were recorded, and American Samoa remained free of drought or abnormal dryness this week.

In Palau, Koror recorded 2.72 inches of rain this week and conditions remained free of drought or abnormal dryness.

The Mariana Islands did not experience much rainfall this week. None of the islands received more than 0.77 inches of rain this week, below the needed 1 inch needed each week. Saipan’s moisture deficit continues to increase, only receiving an average of 1.3 inches in the month of June, leading to further degradation of short-term severe drought (D2-S) to short-term extreme drought (D3-S). Tinian and Rota, while receiving little rainfall, have received more precipitation so far this month, 1.8 inches and 5.34 inches respectively. Tinian remains in short-term moderate drought (D1-S) while Rota was improved to short-term moderate drought (D1-S). Guam, while also recording less than an inch of precipitation, has received an average of 4.56 inches this month leading to greening of vegetation.

The Federated States of Micronesia (FSM) remained mostly unchanged this week. Western and central Micronesia is seeing the return of beneficial rains after dry months. Yap saw further improvement in condition removing short-tern abnormal dryness after 1.93 inches fell this week, leaving the island at 8 inches already this month. No Drought Monitor depiction was made for Ulithi and Fananu this week due to missing data. In Chuuk, 1.5 inches of rain were reported, and conditions remained free of drought or abnormal dryness. On Lukunor, 1.06 inches of rain were reported, ending the three consecutive weeks with less than an inch of rain. Despite this, short-term abnormally dry (D0-S) conditions were introduced to Lukunor. On Nukuoro and Kapingamarangi, 2.36 inches and 3.52 inches of rain were reported, bring much-needed rainfall to the area. Water tanks on both islands are reported to be mostly full, along with healthy vegetation, indicating no drought or abnormal dryness has developed. On Pohnpei, 1.31 inches of rain were reported, and it remained free of drought or abnormal dryness. On Kosrae, 1.76 inches of rain were reported, and it also remained free of drought or abnormal dryness. Short-term extreme drought continued on Pingelap despite receiving 3.25 inches this week.

In the Marshall Islands, conditions on Kwajalein remained short-term drought (D1-S) after only 0.37 inches of rain were reported this week. Short-term moderate drought (D1-S) continued on Ailinglapalap, where 0.35 inches of rain were reported. Short-term moderate drought (D1-S) continued on Jaluit, where 1.32 inches of rain were reported. Short-term extreme drought (D3-S) continued this week on Wotje and Utirik, where 0.28 inches and 0.02 inches of rain were reported, respectively. On Majuro, short-term abnormal dryness (D0-S) continued after 0.65 inches of rain fell. On Mili, conditions remained free of drought or abnormal dryness, and 5.76 inches of rain have been reported there so far in June.

Looking Ahead

Active weather will shift eastward during the next couple of days, as a hotter, drier pattern envelops the nation’s mid-section and quickly expands. Additional rainfall could total 1 to 3 inches across the eastern one-third of the United States, with some of the highest amounts expected from the lower Great Lakes States into northern New England. However, by the end of the week, any significant precipitation should be limited to parts of the North, with hot, dry weather dominating the remainder of the country. During the weekend, high temperatures should top 100°F in the western Corn Belt as far north as South Dakota, while readings will reach 95°F in nearly all areas of the Midwest. By Sunday, however, cooler air should spread as far east as the northern High Plains. During the transition to cooler weather, showers will develop from the Pacific Northwest to Montana. In the East, the first major heat wave of the season will persist into the first half of next week, with high temperatures near 100°F expected at lower elevations of the Atlantic Coast States from Georgia to southern New England. There are some indications that, by early next week, remnant tropical moisture once associated with Eastern Pacific Hurricane Erick could be entrained by a cold front, leading to an increase in shower activity from the southern Rockies into the upper Midwest.

The NWS 6- to 10-day outlook for June 24-28 calls for the likelihood of above-normal temperatures across much of the eastern half of the country, as well as the northern Rockies and environs, while cooler-than-normal conditions will be mostly limited to the Southwest. Meanwhile, near- or above-normal rainfall can be expected nationwide, with an area stretching from the Southwest into the Great Lakes States having the greatest likelihood of experiencing wet weather.




USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report - Corn Rated 73% Good to Excellent, Soybeans 66% Good to Excellent as of June 29

OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. corn crop increased slightly while soybean conditions remained steady last week, USDA NASS report...