Idaho And Western United States SNOTEL Water Year (Oct 1) to Date Precipitation % of Normal (7/15)

USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report - Corn Rated 74% Good to Excellent, Soybeans 70% Good to Excellent as of July 13

OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. corn crop remained steady last week while soybean conditions increased for the first time in several weeks, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released on Monday.

A slow-moving front is expected to bring widespread rainfall to the Corn Belt this week, though some areas like northern Indiana continue to experience dry conditions, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

CORN

-- Crop development: Corn silking was pegged at 34%, 5 percentage points behind of last year's 39% but 1 percentage point ahead of the five-year average of 33%. Corn in the dough stage was estimated at 7%, steady with last year and slightly ahead of five-year average of 5%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 74% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, unchanged from the previous week and 6 points ahead of last year's 68%. Five percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, unchanged from the previous week and lower than 9% last year. The good-to-excellent rating for corn in Iowa is 85%, Illinois is 68% and Indiana is 62%.

SOYBEANS

-- Crop development: Soybeans blooming was pegged at 47%, 2 points behind last year's 49%, but consistent with the five-year average. Soybeans setting pods were estimated at 15%, 2 points behind last year's 17% and 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 14%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 70% of soybeans were in good-to-excellent condition, up 4 percentage points from 66% the previous week and 2 percentage points ahead of last year's 68%. Five percent of soybeans were rated very poor to poor, 2 percentage points lower than 7% from the previous week and 3 percentage points below last year's 8%. Iowa soybeans remain at 79% good-to-excellent condition, while soybeans in Illinois jumped 6 percentage points to reach 60%.

WINTER WHEAT

-- Harvest progress: Harvest moved ahead 10 percentage points to reach 63% complete nationwide as of Sunday. That was 7 points behind of last year's 70% and 1 point behind of the five-year average pace of 64%. Kansas' winter wheat is 93% harvested, Illinois is 93% and Arkansas is 100% finished. Harvest in Montana has not yet started, with Idaho and Washington from 4% to 5% done.

SPRING WHEAT

-- Crop development: 78% of spring wheat was headed, 4 percentage points ahead of last year's 74% and 3 points ahead the five-year average of 75%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 54% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, up 4 percentage points from 50% the previous week and 23 points down from 77% last year.

THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER

Active weather will continue across most areas east of the Rockies this week, maintaining favorable growing conditions, though some regions like northern Indiana remain dry while the Pacific Northwest faces damaging hot and dry conditions for wheat crops, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

"Finding weather issues for corn and soybeans are hard to do, but not impossible," Baranick said. "While some areas that were dry got rain last week, like northern Illinois, some areas like northern Indiana did not and remain dry.

"Yet again though, we've got another week of active weather east of the Rockies. A slow-moving front will bring widespread rainfall to the Corn Belt this week. Some areas of showers will occur from the Southern Plains to the Northeast and areas south from leftover 'garbage' from weeks prior and high humidity. And we might have to watch the Gulf for some close-in tropical storm development this week. All of that continues with the active weather pattern for most areas, generally keeping favorable weather conditions in play this week. Meanwhile, the Pacific Northwest stays awfully dry and generally hot, damaging to wheat, especially spring wheat as more of the crop heads out.

"We could start to see some changes this weekend in the Southern Plains, which continues into next week. Models are finally posting good chances for an upper-level ridge of high pressure to move into the Southern Plains and stall there through next week. Conditions underneath the ridge are generally hot and dry. That could start to impact Nebraska, Kansas and Missouri going into next week. If it continues to build northward, that would be a concern for more areas, so we'll have to pay close attention to this feature going forward."

National Crop Progress Summary
	This	Last	Last	5-Year
	Week	Week	Year	Avg.
Corn Silking	34	18	39	33
Corn Dough	7	3	7	5
Soybeans Blooming	47	32	49	47
Soybeans Setting Pods	15	8	17	14
Winter Wheat Harvested	63	53	70	64
Spring Wheat Headed	78	61	74	75
Cotton Squaring	61	48	62	62
Cotton Setting Bolls	23	14	26	22
Sorghum Headed	24	22	28	28
Sorghum Coloring	14	13	16	16
Oats Headed	92	85	90	90
Oats Harvested	12	NA	15	12
Barley Headed	68	54	73	74
Rice Headed	33	25	42	30
Peanuts Pegging	70	55	68	67

**

National Crop Condition Summary
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
	This Week						Last Week						Last Year
	VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E
Corn	1	4	21	57	17		1	4	21	57	17		3	6	23	52	16
Soybeans	1	4	25	58	12		2	5	27	54	12		2	6	24	56	12
Spring Wheat	1	12	33	49	5		3	12	35	45	5		NA	3	20	67	10
Rice	1	2	20	58	17		1	2	23	52	22		NA	2	18	63	17
Oats	7	9	25	51	8		6	9	25	51	9		6	5	23	56	10
Barley	1	13	42	41	3		1	14	43	40	2		NA	3	23	69	5
Cotton	7	10	29	45	9		6	11	31	45	7		11	12	32	37	8
Peanuts	NA	5	25	59	11		NA	3	22	64	11		1	6	33	54	6
Sorghum	1	3	27	53	16		2	4	27	53	14		3	8	32	44	13

Bureau of Reclamation, Pacific Northwest Region - Storage Reservoirs in the Upper Snake River (7/14)

Average daily streamflows indicated in cubic feet per second.

Reservoir levels current as of midnight on date indicated.

Upper Snake River system is at 65 % of capacity.
(Jackson Lake,Palisades, Grassy Lake,Island Park,Ririe,American Falls,LakeWalcott)
Total space available:	1407544 AF
Total storage capacity:	4045695 AF

This Week's Drought Summary (7/10)

Drought coverage and intensity continued its decline throughout the Great Plains since the spring with additional heavy rainfall during the first week of July. Despite the extremely heavy rainfall and flash flooding this past week, long-term drought dating back multiple years remains across south-central Texas. Improving drought conditions were made to parts of New Mexico, southwestern Colorado, and Arizona, while drought expanded and intensified across the Pacific Northwest and Northern Intermountain West. Much of the Corn Belt and Midwest remains drought-free, but a continued lack of adequate precipitation led to worsening drought for northern Illinois. Following another week of summertime thunderstorms with heavy rainfall, drought ended for most of the central to southwestern Florida Peninsula. Nearly all of the East, Ohio and Tennessee Valleys, and Lower Mississippi Valley are drought-free. 7-day temperatures (July 1-7), averaged 2 to 4 degrees F above normal across the Pacific Northwest, Northern Great Plains, Midwest, and New England. Cooler-than-normal temperatures were limited to the Southern Great Plains and portions of the Southwest. Parts of northwestern Alaska and the Yukon River Valley are designated with short-term drought, while drought of varying intensity continues for Hawaii. Although Puerto Rico currently remains drought-free, short-term precipitation deficits have increased.

Northeast

Nearly all of the Northeast remains drought-free with only a couple of small long-term drought areas designated across northeastern Maryland and southeastern Massachusetts. Increasing 30 to 60-day precipitation deficits along with above-normal temperatures the past two weeks supported the expansion of abnormal dryness (D0) across eastern Massachusetts and southeastern New Hampshire.

Southeast

A continuation of summertime convection and heavy rainfall (2 to 4 inches, locally more) led to a widespread 1-category improvement to much of the central to southwestern Florida Peninsula. However, 180-day precipitation deficits and lower 28-day average streamflows support a continuation of long-term drought for small parts of central Florida and along the Gulf Coast of Florida. For the Atlantic coastal side of the Florida Peninsula and to the south of Lake Okeechobee, 30-day precipitation has averaged below-normal and varying levels of drought persist. A few small abnormal dryness (D0) areas were added close to Charlotte, North Carolina and also southeastern Alabama due to increasing 30-day precipitation deficits. Heavy precipitation, associated with the remnants of Tropical Storm Chantal, occurred across drought-free areas of North Carolina.

South

A broad one to two-category improvement was made this past week to much of the ongoing long-term drought areas of Texas along with parts of New Mexico. The heaviest precipitation (5 to 10 inches, or more) occurred across the Edwards Plateau and south-central portions of Texas. According to CoCoRaHS gauge measurements from July 1-7, precipitation amounts ranged from 12 to 18 inches in eastern Burnet and western Williamson counties of Texas. Although 1 to 2-category improvements were made, a long-term drought dating back multiple years with low groundwater and reservoir levels continue. Therefore, an area of long-term drought (D1+) was maintained. The Edwards Aquifer Authority’s long-term observation wells at Medina and Uvalde counties remain in extreme (D3) to exceptional (D4) drought levels. Elsewhere, across the Southern Great Plains and Lower Mississippi Valley, no short-term or long-term drought is designated.

Midwest

Increasing 30 to 60-day precipitation deficits, worsening soil moisture and pasture conditions, and crop stress support a 1-category degradation for much of northern Illinois. Above-normal temperatures to start July has also led to higher evapotranspiration rates and water demand. Minor degradations were made to parts of Indiana, western Ohio, northwestern Kentucky, and northwestern Missouri where short-term precipitation deficits have increased. Heavier precipitation this past week led to a reduction in abnormal dryness (D0) in eastern Lower Michigan, but moderate drought (D1) was added to western parts of Lower Michigan. Recent heavy precipitation, exceeding 2 inches, led to a 1-category improvement for parts of western Iowa. Significant rainfall (1.5 to 2 inches) supported a 1-category improvement to parts of eastern Iowa, Wisconsin, and northern Minnesota.

High Plains

Another round of heavy rainfall (1 to 2 inches, locally more) supported a 1-category improvement to parts of the Northern and Central Great Plains. April through early July is a wet time of year and 90-day precipitation, valid April 9-July 7, averaged more than 150 percent of normal for much of the Dakotas, Nebraska, eastern Colorado, and eastern Wyoming. Conversely, moderate drought (D1) across northeastern North Dakota was expanded westward due to another dry week and above-normal temperatures. The D1 is supported by the 30 to 60-day SPIs along with soil moisture indicators. Eastern Kansas has missed out on the heavy rainfall recently and abnormal dryness (D0) was added to that part of the state. Although precipitation was not that heavy across southwestern Colorado, enough precipitation along with support from SPIs at multiple time scales and the NDMC drought blends warranted small 1-category improvements.

West

Based on rapidly declining soil moisture and low 28-day average streamflows, additional degradations were warranted this week for the Pacific Northwest with an expanding coverage of moderate (D1) to severe (D2) drought across Oregon and Washington. Farther to the east, extreme drought (D3) was expanded to include more of northern Idaho. Parts of Utah also had a few areas with degradations based on 28-day streamflow, soil moisture, and high evaporative demand recently. A drier end to the wet season, 60 to 90-day SPI, and low soil moisture supported an expansion of abnormal dryness (D0) across northern to central California. Following recent beneficial precipitation along with timely wetness back to the late spring, improvements were warranted for parts of north-central and eastern Montana. Drought intensity remained nearly steady for the Desert Southwest although locally heavier Monsoon showers led to a small reduction in extreme drought (D3) for eastern and southern Arizona.

Caribbean

Abnormal dryness (D0) continued to expand across Puerto Rico during the first week of July. Little to no precipitation was observed this past week across the southern and northeastern interior where D0 was added. During the past 60 days, precipitation has averaged below 50 percent throughout these areas as well. USGS monitored wells are showing an increase in depth for southern Puerto Rico, while soils are drying and crop stress is increasing.

St. Croix Island has received a 1-category degradation to abnormal dryness. A combination of low precipitation which ranged from 0.17” to 0.77” and falling well water levels contributed to this degradation. Well water levels at Adventure 28 Well are at 15.83 ft as of July 9. St. John and St. Thomas Islands continue to face abnormal dryness for this week. St. John Island’s precipitation for the week ranged from 0.16” to 0.33”. A weekly precipitation of 0.18” was recorded from the Windswept Beach station. Well water levels at Susannaberg DPS 3 Well fell to 11.55 ft. Weekly precipitation values ranging from 0.5” to 0.92” were recorded from CoCoRaHS stations across St. Thomas Island. Unlike the other two islands, well water levels at Grade School 3 Well rose to 9.21 ft. Despite this, St. Thomas will remain in abnormal dryness. Overall, the U.S. Virgin Islands faces short-term drought.

Pacific

Much above-normal temperatures during the first week of July contributed to the addition of moderate drought (D1) across northwestern Alaska and along the Yukon River Valley near the Canadian border. A slight reduction of abnormal dryness (D0) was made to better align with valley locations in eastern interior Alaska.

No changes were made this past week with extreme drought (D3) designated for parts of the Big Island. Moderate to severe drought continues for Maui along with western Molokai. Most of Oahu and Kauai are drought-free.

Heavy rains have fallen in several islands in the Republic of the Marshall Islands (RMI). Majuro and Mili received 7.58” and 6.38” of rain, respectively. Jaluit has received 3.3” of rain this week as well. Due to this, Jaluit will receive a 1-category improvement to short-term severe drought. Kwajalein has received 2.47” of rain this week. Though it will stay in severe drought, there is potential for improvement if heavy rain continues for the island in the coming weeks. Other islands received inadequate precipitation and thus will remain in drought. Ailingalapalap and Utirik received only 0.83” and 1.15” of rain. Wotje’s precipitation data for this week were missing. Though given past rainfall measurements, Wotje will remain in extreme drought.

Beneficial rain has arrived in the Federated States of Micronesia (FSM). Pingelap received 4.24” of rain. Pingelap will remain in moderate drought, with the potential for improvement if rain continues to fall in the coming weeks. Pohnpei, Woleai, Nukuoro, and Kosrae received adequate rain for the week as well, at 2.72”, 3.46”, 2.27” and 2.58”, respectively. Lukunor and Chuuk Lagoon received inadequate precipitation this week, at 0.49” and 0.7”, respectively. They do not have any drought or dryness, however.

The Republic of Palau continues to receive adequate precipitation. Koror has received 4.99” of rain this week, while the WSO Palau received 4.64” of rain. American Samoa continues to receive heavy rain. The Pago Pago Airport received 8.06” of rain, while the Siufaga and Toa ridges received 7.75” and 7.31” of rain, respectively.

Beneficial rain has also arrived at the Marianas Islands. Guam, for example, received 1.92” of rain this week. Tinian received 3.55” of rain this week, while Saipan International Airport received 1.93” of rain. AMME NPS Saipan received 1.64” of rain this week. Because of these rains, Tinian and Saipan received 1-category improvements, though they will remain in long-term moderate drought. Rota did not get as much rain as the other islands, only receiving 0.71” of rain.

Looking Ahead

From July 10 to 14, a cold front is forecast to shift southeast across the central U.S. and provide the focus for thunderstorms. The most widespread, heavy precipitation (more than 1.5 inches) is forecast across the Upper Mississippi Valley and Western Corn Belt, but locally heavy precipitation is expected as far south and west as the Southern Great Plains and eastern New Mexico. Daily convection with locally heavy precipitation is forecast across the Mid-Atlantic and Southeast, especially east of the Appalachians. A lull in the Monsoon will be accompanied by above-normal temperatures across the Desert Southwest. Dry weather and increasing heat are likely for the interior Pacific Northwest.

The Climate Prediction Center’s 6-10 day outlook (valid July 15-19, 2025) favors above-normal precipitation across the eastern two-thirds of the contiguous U.S., most of Alaska, and the western Hawaiian Islands. The largest above-normal precipitation probabilities (more than 50 percent) are forecast for the Florida Panhandle, western Texas, and eastern New Mexico. Increased below-normal precipitation probabilities are limited to the Pacific Northwest. Above-normal temperatures are favored throughout the Pacific Northwest, Great Basin, eastern Texas, Lower Mississippi Valley, and the East. Increased chances for below-normal temperatures are forecast for the Great Plains. The outlook leans cooler (warmer)-than-normal for southern (northern) Alaska.

Idaho And Western United States SNOTEL Water Year (Oct 1) to Date Precipitation % of Normal (7/8)

USDA Weekly Crop Progress Report - Corn Rated 74% Good to Excellent, Soybeans 66% Good to Excellent as of July 6

OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. corn crop increased slightly while soybean conditions remained unchanged for the fourth consecutive week, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released on Monday.

Active weather will bring areas east of the Rockies some rain this week, while northern Illinois and Indiana continue to miss out on much-needed rain that has left them short on soil moisture, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

CORN

-- Crop development: Corn silking was pegged at 18%, 4 percentage points behind of last year's 22% but 3 percentage points ahead of the five-year average of 15%. Corn in the dough stage was estimated at 3%, steady with last year and slightly ahead of five-year average of 2%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 74% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, up 1 point from 73% the previous week and 6 points ahead of last year's 68%. Five percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, unchanged from the previous week and lower than 9% last year. Iowa corn is rated 86% good to excellent, Nebraska is at 75% and Indiana is at 63%.

SOYBEANS

-- Crop development: 96% of soybeans had emerged as of Sunday, 2 points behind last year and the five-year average of 98%. Soybeans blooming was pegged at 32%, consistent with last year and 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 31%. Soybeans setting pods were estimated at 8%, also equal to last year and up 2 points from the five-year average of 6%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 66% of soybeans were in good-to-excellent condition, unchanged from the previous week and 2 points below 68% last year. Seven percent of soybeans were rated very poor to poor, unchanged from the previous week and 1 point below last year's 8%. Fifty-four percent of soybeans in Illinois were rated good to excellent, while Iowa was at 79% and Nebraska is at 71% good to excellent.

WINTER WHEAT

-- Harvest progress: Harvest maintained a steady pace last week, moving ahead 16 percentage points to reach 53% complete nationwide Sunday. That was 9 points behind of last year's 62% and 1 point behind of the five-year average pace of 54%. Kansas' winter wheat is 82% harvested, Indiana is at 59% and Nebraska is at 22%.

-- Crop condition: 48% of the crop remaining in fields was rated in good-to-excellent condition, unchanged from the previous week and 3 points below from 51% a year ago, according to NASS.

SPRING WHEAT

-- Crop development: 61% of spring wheat was headed, 5 percentage points ahead of last year's 56% and 3 points ahead the five-year average of 58%.

-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 50% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, down 3 percentage points from 53% the previous week and 25 points down from 75% last year. Minnesota has the highest good-to-excellent spring wheat rating at 80%, with North Dakota at 68%.

THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER

Widespread showers and thunderstorms will continue across most areas east of the Rockies, though parts of northern Illinois and Indiana face concerning moisture deficits with fewer rain opportunities, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.

"Overall good weather has been a fairly consistent feature for much of the country and that continues this week," Baranick said. "Between fronts, systems, and upper-level disturbances, widespread showers and thunderstorms are forecast to go through most areas east of the Rockies this week. Temperatures will also be rather seasonable but may be warmer a day or so ahead of a bigger system that will move through later this week and weekend. That should produce areas of heavy rain and severe weather across the north.

"But the weather hasn't been all that great for all areas. Some areas have been regularly missed in the active pattern, including important corn and soybean acres in northern Illinois and Indiana that are short on soil moisture now, and chances for rain are more limited than elsewhere this week. Parts of the Northern Plains are still dry though their chances for rain are better. And the Pacific Northwest got some very important rain over the holiday weekend but will be very dry and hot pretty much all this week."

National Crop Progress Summary
	This	Last	Last	5-Year
	Week	Week	Year	Avg.
Corn Silking	18	8	22	15
Corn Dough	3	NA	3	2
Soybeans Emerged	96	94	98	98
Soybeans Blooming	32	17	32	31
Soybeans Setting Pods	8	3	8	6
Winter Wheat Harvested	53	37	62	54
Spring Wheat Headed	61	38	56	58
Cotton Squaring	48	40	51	49
Cotton Setting Bolls	14	9	18	15
Sorghum Planted	96	92	98	97
Sorghum Headed	22	18	22	23
Sorghum Coloring	13	NA	13	14
Oats Headed	85	74	82	82
Barley Headed	54	35	53	57
Rice Headed	25	19	29	22
Peanuts Pegging	55	41	56	53

**

National Crop Condition Summary
(VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent)
	This Week						Last Week						Last Year
	VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E		VP	P	F	G	E
Corn	1	4	21	57	17		1	4	22	58	15		3	6	23	52	16
Soybeans	2	5	27	54	12		2	5	27	55	11		2	6	24	55	13
Winter Wheat	6	12	34	41	7		6	14	32	41	7		5	10	34	41	10
Spring Wheat	3	12	35	45	5		1	13	33	48	5		1	3	21	65	10
Rice	1	2	23	52	22		NA	2	18	56	24		1	2	16	64	17
Oats	6	9	25	51	9		6	9	24	54	7		6	5	22	56	11
Barley	1	14	43	40	2		1	11	45	41	2		NA	3	27	64	6
Cotton	6	11	31	45	7		5	12	32	44	7		10	13	32	37	8
Peanuts	NA	3	22	64	11		NA	3	25	62	10		1	7	34	52	6
Sorghum	2	4	27	53	14		2	5	29	53	11		3	7	31	46	13

Bureau of Reclamation, Pacific Northwest Region - Storage Reservoirs in the Upper Snake River (7/7)

Average daily streamflows indicated in cubic feet per second.
Reservoir levels current as of midnight on date indicated.

Upper Snake River system is at 71 % of capacity.
(Jackson Lake,Palisades, Grassy Lake,Island Park,Ririe,American Falls,LakeWalcott)
Total space available:	1176642 AF
Total storage capacity:	4045695 AF

This Week's Drought Summary (7/3)

Over the past week, scattered heavy rains fell over parts of the central Great Plains and Upper Midwest. Rain amounts were especially heavy in parts of Nebraska and Minnesota, where locally 8 or more inches of rain fell. These rains helped to alleviate drought and abnormal dryness in some areas. A few areas of the Dakotas, Minnesota, Indiana and Illinois that missed heavier rains saw localized degradations. Heavy monsoonal rain and thunderstorms also occurred in parts of west Texas and New Mexico, leading to some improvements to ongoing drought and abnormal dryness there. Meanwhile, most areas west of the Continental Divide remained dry or mostly dry. This continued dry weather led to further degradation in drought and abnormal dryness, especially in the Northwest, where severe and extreme drought developed or expanded in coverage. Conditions in the Southeast and central Gulf Coast were mostly quiet this week, though a few areas in east Tennessee and southern Louisiana saw localized abnormal dryness develop given short-term precipitation deficits and declining soil moisture. Heavier rains fell across parts of Florida, leading to some reduction in drought and abnormal dryness coverage in the Florida Peninsula. Well-above-normal temperatures occurred in the Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic and Lower Great Lakes regions, where temperatures ranging from 4-8 degrees above normal, and locally 10 degrees hotter than normal, were common. The Northwest was also warmer than normal this week, with most areas checking in with warm anomalies of 2-6 degrees. Southeast New Mexico and west Texas finished the week 2-8 degrees cooler than normal owing to rain and clouds from the North American Monsoon, which became much more active this week.

A mix of improvements and degradations occurred across Hawaii, where vegetation and streamflows responded to recent rainfall or lack thereof.

Scattered heavier showers fell across parts of Alaska, while some locations that missed out saw fire danger increase, leading to a mix of improvements and degradations.

Short-term rainfall deficits continued to build in north-central and south-central Puerto Rico, leading to localized increases in abnormal dryness coverage.

Northeast

This week, mostly dry weather occurred in southern New England, southern New York and portions of New Jersey, as well as northern Maine. Temperatures ranged from 2-8 degrees warmer than normal across much of the southern portion of the region, while near or below normal temperatures (mostly by 1-4 degrees) were more common in northern New England. A few minor expansions of abnormal dryness and moderate drought occurred in east-central New Jersey, Long Island and eastern Massachusetts. On Long Island and in eastern Massachusetts, short-term precipitation deficits started to grow amid reductions in soil moisture and streamflow, on top of groundwater shortages. However, most of the rest of the region remained free of drought or abnormal dryness.

Southeast

Heavy rain, locally in excess of 4 inches, fell across parts of Florida, southwest Georgia, and Alabama, while comparatively drier weather, with local rain amounts of 2 inches or more, occurred over the rest of the Southeast. Virginia and the Carolinas saw warmer-than-normal weather, with temperatures ranging from 2-8 degrees above normal, while most of the rest of the Southeast was either near-normal or 2-4 degrees warmer than normal. Some improvement to ongoing drought and abnormal dryness occurred across the Florida Peninsula in areas of heavier rain, though areas of moderate, severe and extreme drought persisted in some locations where significant deficits in rainfall and streamflow persisted. Elsewhere across the Southeast, conditions remained free of drought or abnormal dryness.

South

Heavy monsoonal rains fell this week across portions of west Texas, with local amounts of 2-3 inches or more. Heavy rains of 2-3 inches or more also fell across parts of northeast Oklahoma, and southwest Tennessee. Elsewhere, rainfall amounts of at least 2 inches were less common, while southern Arkansas and northern Louisiana, northwest Oklahoma and portions of central Texas saw mostly dry weather this week. In west Texas, under the monsoonal rainfall, temperatures were 4-8 degrees cooler than normal in some areas. Elsewhere across the region, temperatures were mostly 2-4 degrees warmer than normal in Arkansas and northern Mississippi, while temperatures were mostly 2-6 degrees warmer than normal in Tennessee. Outside of Texas, the South region remained almost entirely free of drought or abnormal dryness. However, around a few localized areas of short-term precipitation and soil moisture deficits, a few small areas of abnormal dryness developed in southern Louisiana and eastern Tennessee. In west Texas, heavy rains from the North American Monsoon helped to partially alleviate short- and long-term precipitation deficits and improve soil moisture quantity.

Midwest

Heavy rain fell this week across portions of the Midwest, including central and south-central and northern Missouri, portions of Iowa, southern Minnesota, central and northern Wisconsin, the western Michigan Upper Peninsula, and portions of southern Indiana and Ohio. Warmer-than-normal temperatures covered most of the region, especially Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, southern Michigan and Kentucky, where temperatures ranging from 4-10 degrees above normal were common. Temperatures 1-4 degrees warmer than normal were more common in Iowa, Missouri and southern Wisconsin, while a small area of cooler-than-normal weather occurred in central Minnesota, where temperatures were mostly 1-4 degrees below normal. A mix of improvements and degradations to ongoing areas of drought and abnormal dryness occurred in Illinois, northwest Indiana and Minnesota. In these areas, soil moisture and precipitation deficits and surpluses continued to shift after recent heavy rain or lack thereof. Improvements to ongoing drought or abnormal dryness occurred in northern Missouri, Iowa, Wisconsin and the Upper Peninsula of Michigan, where heavy recent rainfall lessened precipitation deficits and improved soil moisture.

High Plains

Very heavy rain fell across parts of southwest and central Nebraska, which extended into portions of northern Kansas (north of Interstate 70) and portions of west-central and eastern South Dakota. Significant flash flooding occurred from rain amounts locally exceeding 8 inches in Grand Island, Nebraska, while very heavy rain, locally in excess of 5 inches, fell in parts of eastern South Dakota, where significant tornadoes also occurred on June 28. Heavier rain amounts fell in parts of south-central and northeast Colorado as well, though most of the heavier totals were in the 1-3 inch range. Primarily dry weather occurred west of the Continental Divide in Colorado and Wyoming. Temperatures across the region were mostly near normal to 2-4 degrees above normal, though parts of the eastern Dakotas were a few degrees cooler than normal. In areas that received heavy rain, soil moisture and precipitation deficits were alleviated and widespread improvements to ongoing drought or abnormal dryness occurred, including a two-category improvement in central Nebraska where some of the week’s heaviest rains fell. Meanwhile, degradations occurred in northwest Colorado and western Wyoming, where soil moisture and streamflow deficits mounted amid growing precipitation deficits.

West

Heavy monsoonal rains fell this week in parts of New Mexico, excluding the far northwest. Elsewhere, this week’s weather was almost entirely dry. Combined with warmer-than-normal temperatures (mostly by 2-6 degrees) in the Northwest states, this led to widespread degradation in drought and abnormal dryness for central and northern Utah, Idaho, parts of northern and much of western Montana, and Washington. Very low streamflows and large short-term precipitation deficits contributed to widespread expansion of severe and extreme drought in western Montana and adjacent Idaho. Short-term severe drought also occurred in parts of central and north-central Washington, where deficits in precipitation and streamflow continued to grow. In much of New Mexico, excluding the far west and northwest portions, near- or below-normal temperatures were common this week along with some heavier rainfall amounts exceeding 2 inches (locally exceeding 5 inches). The improved soil moisture and lessened precipitation deficits led to widespread improvements to ongoing drought and abnormal dryness in southeast, southwest and north-central New Mexico. Exceptional drought expanded slightly along part of the Arizona-New Mexico state line where deficits in groundwater and precipitation continued to mount.

Caribbean

With a few local exceptions in far western Puerto Rico, rainfall amounts across the island mostly remained under 0.5 inches. Short-term precipitation deficits grew in north-central and south-central portions of the island alongside declining levels of groundwater, streamflow and soil moisture, leading to a few areas of expanding abnormal dryness. Temperatures, while variable, were mostly 0.5-1.5 degrees warmer than normal.

Generally, dry weather prevailed across the U.S. Virgin Islands in June. The satellite-based precipitation estimates, obtained from the GPM IMERG Early 7-day observed precipitation maps updated today, indicate that rainfall across the Virgin Islands ranged from 0.04 to 0.4 inches this week.

On St. Croix, the weekly rainfall amount ranged from 0.34 inches at VI-SC-34 (Frederiksted, 1.9 NE) to 0.91 inches at VI-SC-23 (Christiansted 6.5 W). Intermediate values included 0.52 inches at VI-SC-20 (Frederiksted 1.7 ESE), 0.50 inches at VI-SC-10 (Christiansted 1.6 E), 0.39 inches at VI-SC-35 (Frederiksted 1.3 ENE), and 0.37 inches at VI-SC-30 (Christiansted, 1.7 SW). The 1-month Standardized Precipitation Index (SPI-1) value for East Hill, St. Croix, is currently -0.51, compared to -0.79 and -0.21 in the previous two weeks. According to the USGS, groundwater levels at Adventure 28 Well (St. Croix) have shown an increasing depth since mid-May but remain relatively shallow at 15.52 feet compared to last year's level of 23.73 feet. Thus, although it shows a trend towards abnormally dry conditions, St. Croix remained drought-free.

On St. Thomas, rainfall totals varied, measuring 0.08 inches at VI-ST-5 (Charlotte Amalie West, 4.2 WNW) and 0.25 inches at VI-ST-15 (Charlotte Amalie West, 1.3 N). Additionally, VI-ST-13 (Charlotte Amalie, 1.2 NNW) recorded 0.19 inches, while VI-ST-15 reported 0.13 inches, with two days of data unaccounted for. For King Airport, St. Thomas, the SPI-1 value is -0.57 (it was -0.66 last week). On July 1, 2025, the water level in the Grade School 3 well in St. Thomas was reported to be 9.86 feet below the land surface. This measurement is higher than the level recorded at the same time the previous year, which was 5.14 feet. Additionally, there has been an increasing trend in the depth of the water during June. Due to the recent dry conditions, St. Thomas is now classified as being in an abnormally dry category.

On St. John, the rainfall recorded at VI-SJ-5 (Cruz Bay 1.6 E) was only 0.08 inches. Additionally, VI-SJ-3 (Windswept Beach) reported 0.25 inches of rain, contributing to a total of 1.36 inches for June. As of July 1, 2025, the depth to the water level at the Susannaberg DPW 3 well (St. John, USVI) was 11.16 feet below the land surface. This marks an increase from last week’s measurement of 10.80 feet. In comparison to the same time the previous year, when the water level was 8.14 feet, this indicates a significant rise. Consequently, St. John is currently experiencing abnormally dry conditions.

Pacific

Heavier precipitation amounts, locally over 3 inches, fell in parts of southeast Alaska. In parts of west-central, central and east-central Alaska, 0.5-1.5 inches of precipitation were reported this week. In some of these areas, the precipitation was sufficient to remove or shrink areas of abnormal dryness. In some areas that missed out on heavier precipitation amounts, fire danger grew and moderate drought and abnormal dryness expanded in coverage. Temperatures were primarily near normal or 1-4 degrees cooler than normal in east-central, south-central and southeast Alaska, with a few spots reporting temperatures in the 2-6 degree below normal range in parts of west-central Alaska. Temperatures were primarily 2-6 degrees above normal in northwest Alaska, while temperatures in the North Slope were mostly within a few degrees of normal.

Temperatures in Hawaii this week were generally within a couple degrees of normal. Rainfall over 1 inch fell on parts of the windward portion of the Big Island, on portions of the southwest kona (leeward) coast, and in more isolated areas of the windward portions of Maui and Kauai. In areas where precipitation deficits lessened and vegetation health improved, a few one-category improvements were made, including parts of the west and east coasts of the Big Island and small portions of the leeward sides of Lanai and Molokai. Abnormal dryness grew in coverage on Oahu, where deficits in rainfall and locally, streamflow, grew. Moderate drought coverage also expanded on the southwest coast of Kauai, where precipitation deficits grew amid worsening vegetation health.

This week, most areas of the Marshall Islands experienced drier-than-normal conditions, except for the southeastern region. Ailinglapalap and Kwajalein recorded only 1.10 and 1.15 inches of rain, respectively, worsening the drought conditions from moderate to severe. Jaluit also experienced a decline, reporting just 0.85 inches of rain, leading to extreme drought conditions. Meanwhile, Utirik and Wotje received only 1.52 and 0.08 inches of rainfall, respectively, keeping them in extreme drought status. In contrast, Majuro and Milli experienced significant rain, with reports of 3.94 and 3.1 inches, respectively, which allowed both islands to remain drought-free.

Normal weather conditions have been observed across the Federated States of Micronesia following recent heavy rains. This week, Chuuk Lagoon, Kosrae, Lukunor, and Nukuoro received rainfall amounts of 6.05, 3.18, 2.52 (with 3 days missing), and 2.67 inches, respectively. This significant precipitation has helped these islands remain drought-free. Kapingamarangi reported only 1.17 inches of rain this week. However, due to substantial rainfall in the previous weeks, the island is also drought-free. Pingelap experienced three consecutive weeks of heavy rainfall, accumulating 2.12 inches of rain this week, although one day of rainfall remains unaccounted for. This significant precipitation improved the island's conditions from severe drought to long-term moderate drought. Additionally, Woleai and Yap received 1.31 inches and 4.73 inches of rain, respectively, allowing both islands to remain drought-free. There was no data available for Fananu and Ulithi, so no assessment could be made of those locations.

Normal conditions were observed across American Samoa. Pago Pago reported no rain, with five days missing. However, Siufaga Ridge and Toa Ridge recorded 2.77 and 0.57 inches of rain this week, respectively. Therefore, American Samoa remains drought-free.

Normal conditions prevailed across Palau. Koror reported 4.04 inches of rain this week, enabling the island to remain drought-free.

Wet conditions have impacted the Mariana Islands this week. According to the weekly rainfall report, Rota and Guam received 5.78 inches and 7.82 inches of rain, respectively. As a result, both islands have transitioned from moderate and severe drought conditions to long-term abnormally dry conditions. Additionally, Tinian and Saipan recorded 2.38 inches and 3.47 inches of rain, respectively. This rainfall has improved their status from severe and extreme drought to long-term severe drought conditions.

Looking Ahead

The National Weather Service Weather Prediction Center is forecasting a few areas of rainfall exceeding 1 inch for the period through the evening of Monday, July 7. Localized 1-inch or greater totals are possible in locations in New Mexico, northwest Texas, central and eastern Oklahoma, northern Kansas and Nebraska into the Upper Midwest and northern Great Plains, western Montana, and the Florida Peninsula, perhaps extending to the Southeast’s Atlantic coastline as a weather disturbance moves through. Heavy rain amounts exceeding 3 inches are forecast in portions of the Florida Peninsula, especially along much of its Gulf coast. Mostly dry weather is expected from the Intermountain West to the Pacific Ocean and across much of south Texas, Mississippi, Alabama, Georgia and the southern Mid-Atlantic.

For July 8-12, the National Weather Service Climate Prediction Center forecast strongly favors warmer-than-normal temperatures in the western Contiguous U.S., especially west of the Continental Divide. Warmer-than-normal temperatures are also favored in the eastern U.S., especially from Virginia southward to Florida. Near- or below-normal temperatures are favored for parts of the southern and central Great Plains and western portions of the Midwest. Below-normal precipitation is favored from northern Arizona across Utah, Nevada, southern Idaho, much of Oregon and southwest Washington. Above-normal precipitation is slightly favored in southern Arizona and southern and eastern New Mexico eastward across much of the Contiguous U.S.

In Alaska, above-normal precipitation is favored across much of the state, especially in the eastern half and excluding the far west reaches. Cooler-than-normal temperatures are favored across most of Alaska, especially central and eastern portions of Alaska.

In Hawaii, warmer-than-normal temperatures are favored from Molokai westward. Above-normal precipitation is favored throughout Hawaii.