OMAHA (DTN) -- The condition of the U.S. corn and soybean crops improved slightly last week, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released on Monday.
Multiple storm systems are expected to bring heavy rain, severe weather flooding concerns to much of the country this week, while a tropical low-pressure system near the Gulf Coast could add to rainfall totals and increase flood risks, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.
CORN
-- Crop development: 94% of corn had emerged as of Sunday, 1 point ahead of last year's pace and the five-year average of 93%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 68% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, 1 point above the previous week and 4 points below last year's 72%. Six percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, steady with the previous week and 1 point above the previous year of 5%. Among the top corn-producing states, Iowa's crop was rated 79% good to excellent, while Illinois came in at 66%, DTN Senior Analyst Dana Mantini said.
SOYBEANS
-- Planting progress: An estimated 95% of intended soybean acreage was planted as of Sunday, 2 points ahead of last year and the five-year average of 93%.
-- Crop development: 88% of soybeans had emerged as of Sunday, 5 points ahead of last year's pace and 6 points ahead of the five-year average of 82%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 66% of soybeans that had emerged were in good-to-excellent condition, up 1 point from 65% the previous week and steady with last year. The good-to-excellent soybean rating was 77% in Iowa, 61% in Illinois and 80% in Minnesota.
WINTER WHEAT
-- Crop development: 95% of winter wheat was headed nationwide as of Sunday. That's 3 points ahead of last year's 92% and 4 points ahead of the five-year average of 91%.
-- Harvest progress: Harvest moved ahead 14 percentage points last week to reach 25% complete nationwide as of Sunday. That was 16 points ahead of last year's 9% and 12 points ahead of the five-year average pace of 13%. Texas' winter wheat is at 75% complete, 21 points ahead of last year's 54% and 24 points above the five-year average of 51%. Oklahoma made a big jump, with harvest 73% complete compared to 44% last week, 47 points ahead of last year's 26% and 35 points ahead of the five-year average of 38%.
-- Crop condition: An estimated 27% of winter wheat was rated good to excellent as of June 14, up 2 points from 25% the previous week and 25 points below 52% a year ago, according to NASS.
SPRING WHEAT
-- Crop development: 95% of spring wheat was emerged as of Sunday, 7 percentage points ahead of last year's pace of 88% and 6 percentage points ahead of the five-year average of 89%. Six percent of spring wheat was headed, 2 points ahead of last year's pace and 1 point ahead of the five-year average.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 55% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, up 3 points from 52% the previous week. Ninety percent of spring wheat in Minnesota was rated in good-to-excellent condition, 50% in South Dakota and 61% in North Dakota.
THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER
Weather will remain an important factor for crop conditions as heavy rain and severe weather continue across portions of the country, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.
"Last week was a busy weather week, including heavy, flooding rain and severe weather," Baranick said. "We'll have to keep an eye on that in the crop conditions to see if that's making a difference. This week is busy too, but the severity of the storms are not as strong as they were last week.
"We've still got multiple systems that will traverse the country, bringing some areas of heavy rain. Those in the western end of the Corn Belt won't see the same frequency of showers as those to the east, and that will be a little noteworthy given the long-term drought in some of these areas. Temperatures will be much cooler this week than they were last week, easing some stress for those drier areas, though.
"A big severe weather event looks likely on Wednesday from Missouri to Indiana that could cause some damage and heavy rainfall. Missouri seems to be the epicenter for the heavy rain and severe weather so far this season and that looks to be the case again here this week. That may be positive in some areas, but water-logged soils could start to be a problem in some other areas.
"Another issue to watch will be along the Gulf Coast. A tropical low-pressure center currently found over northeastern Mexico is forecast to circle around the Gulf Coast from Texas to Louisiana and then moving through the Southeast this week. If it can make it over water, it could become named. But even if it doesn't, it's likely to spread a lot of heavy rain near the coast into the Southeast later this week. Areas of flooding will certainly be possible, if not likely."
| National Crop Progress Summary | ||||
| This | Last | Last | 5-Year | |
| Week | Week | Year | Avg. | |
| Corn emerged | 94 | 86 | 93 | 93 |
| Soybeans planted | 95 | 92 | 93 | 93 |
| Soybeans emerged | 88 | 79 | 83 | 82 |
| Winter wheat headed | 95 | 92 | 92 | 91 |
| Winter wheat harvest | 25 | 11 | 9 | 13 |
| Spring wheat emerged | 95 | 87 | 88 | 89 |
| Spring wheat headed | 6 | NA | 4 | 5 |
| Cotton planted | 86 | 77 | 84 | 88 |
| Cotton squaring | 19 | 13 | 18 | 17 |
| Cotton setting bolls | 2 | NA | 3 | 3 |
| Sorghum planted | 68 | 53 | 67 | 71 |
| Oats headed | 50 | 39 | 47 | 46 |
| Barley emerged | 96 | 91 | 88 | 90 |
| Barley headed | 7 | NA | 4 | 5 |
| Rice emerged | 98 | 94 | 96 | 96 |
| Rice headed | 8 | NA | 5 | 4 |
| Sunflowers planted | 82 | 59 | 75 | 75 |
| Peanuts planted | 95 | 87 | 94 | 94 |
| Peanuts pegging | 12 | NA | 11 | 9 |
**
| National Crop Condition Summary | |||||
| (VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent) | |||||
| VP | P | F | G | E | |
| Corn | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 5 | 26 | 56 | 12 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 5 | 27 | 55 | 12 |
| Prev Year | 1 | 4 | 23 | 59 | 13 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 5 | 10 | 26 | 46 | 13 |
| Soybeans | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 5 | 28 | 57 | 9 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 5 | 29 | 56 | 9 |
| Prev Year | 2 | 5 | 27 | 56 | 10 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 4 | 10 | 28 | 47 | 11 |
| Spring Wheat | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 5 | 39 | 51 | 4 |
| Prev Week | 0 | 6 | 42 | 48 | 4 |
| Prev Year | 0 | 9 | 34 | 53 | 4 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 8 | 16 | 29 | 40 | 7 |
| Winter Wheat | |||||
| This Week | 20 | 25 | 28 | 22 | 5 |
| Prev Week | 20 | 26 | 29 | 21 | 4 |
| Prev Year | 6 | 13 | 29 | 45 | 7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 14 | 18 | 31 | 32 | 6 |
| Rice | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 2 | 27 | 55 | 15 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 3 | 26 | 55 | 15 |
| Prev Year | 0 | 2 | 24 | 55 | 19 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 1 | 3 | 22 | 58 | 17 |
| Oats | |||||
| This Week | 7 | 12 | 29 | 47 | 5 |
| Prev Week | 7 | 12 | 34 | 43 | 4 |
| Prev Year | 6 | 10 | 28 | 47 | 9 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 7 | 9 | 30 | 48 | 6 |
| Barley | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 5 | 47 | 45 | 2 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 6 | 53 | 38 | 2 |
| Prev Year | 1 | 12 | 42 | 43 | 2 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 1 | 7 | 39 | 48 | 4 |
| Peanuts | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 4 | 33 | 57 | 5 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 5 | 32 | 57 | 5 |
| Prev Year | 0 | 4 | 28 | 61 | 7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 2 | 8 | 32 | 51 | 7 |
| Cotton | |||||
| This Week | 2 | 9 | 39 | 41 | 9 |
| Prev Week | 5 | 9 | 33 | 42 | 11 |
| Prev Year | 6 | 13 | 33 | 43 | 5 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 12 | 17 | 30 | 34 | 6 |
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