OMAHA (DTN) -- U.S. corn and soybean crop conditions each declined 1 percentage point from the previous week, according to USDA NASS's weekly Crop Progress report released Monday.
A big heatwave will expand across the eastern half of the country this week, bringing extremely hot and humid conditions while drying out overly wet areas and shifting rain chances north, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick.
CORN
-- Crop development: Corn silking was pegged at 9%, 2 percentage points ahead of last year's 7% and 3 percentage points ahead of the five-year average of 6%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 67% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition, 1 point below the previous week and 6 points below last year's 73%. Eight percent of the crop was rated very poor to poor, 2 points above the previous week's 6% and 3 points above previous year of 5%. DTN Senior Analyst Dana Mantini noted that top-producing Iowa's corn crop remained rated 78% good to excellent, compared to just 60% in Illinois.
SOYBEANS
-- Crop development: 96% of soybeans had emerged as of Sunday, 3 points ahead of last year's pace and 1 point ahead of the five-year average of 95%. Soybeans blooming was pegged at 19%, 3 points ahead of last year's 16% and 4 points ahead of the five-year average of 15%. Soybeans setting pods was estimated at 4%, 1 point ahead of last year and up 2 points from the five-year average of 2%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 65% of soybeans that had emerged were in good-to-excellent condition, 1 point below the previous week and previous year of 66%. Iowa's soybean crop was rated 75% good to excellent, compared to 78% in Minnesota and 55% in Illinois, Mantini said.
WINTER WHEAT
-- Harvest progress: Harvest moved ahead 8 percentage points last week to reach 48% complete nationwide as of Sunday. That was 14 points ahead of last year's 34% and 9 points ahead of the five-year average pace of 39%. Mantini said the rapid pace is indicative of thin stands and high abandonment rates for hard red crops in the drought-affected Southern Plains. Meanwhile, Texas' winter wheat is at 82% complete, 3 points ahead of last year and 2 points ahead of the five-year average of 80%. Oklahoma harvest reached 98% complete compared to 95% last week, 32 points ahead of last year's 66% and 17 points ahead of the five-year average of 81%.
-- Crop condition: An estimated 26% of winter wheat was rated good to excellent as of June 28, steady with the previous week and 22 points below 48% a year ago, according to NASS.
SPRING WHEAT
-- Crop development: Thirty-two percent of spring wheat was headed, 3 points behind last year's pace of 35% and 2 points below the five-year average of 34%.
-- Crop condition: NASS estimated that 59% of the crop was in good-to-excellent condition nationwide, up 5 points from 54% the previous week.
THE WEEK AHEAD IN WEATHER
This week's heatwave could benefit many areas by drying excessive moisture in the South and boosting rain chances in the Northern Plains and northern Corn Belt, though the Central and Southern Plains may see increasing crop stress, according to DTN Ag Meteorologist John Baranick,
"A big heatwave has already started to move into the middle of the country on Monday and will be expanding across the eastern half throughout the week," Baranick said. "Extremely hot and humid conditions with a lot of highs in the 90s, lows in the 70s, and dew point temperatures in the 70s would normally be a major cause of concern ahead of corn pollination. However, this may be the type of heatwave the country needs.
"First of all, it will leave areas across the South and Southeast much drier this week. Areas that have been excessively wet will get a chance to use up some of that water or have ponding dry out with the extreme heat.
"Secondly, the heat will push the storm track to the north, giving multiple opportunities for some of the drier areas of the Northern Plains and northern Corn Belt to get some heavy precipitation. We will have to watch out for severe weather every day, but we should get multiple opportunities to provide some relief. We'll also see some spotty showers developing across the Delta, Southeast and into the Midwest later this week as the humidity peaks.
"Areas that will more likely be left out of the better conditions will be in the Central and Southern Plains. The heat will be in play for most areas, but precipitation will be very spotty. We could see some significant stresses developing for crops this week. It may be more beneficial to continue the wheat harvest, though.
"The heatwave comes to an end with a system that moves through over the holiday weekend and into early next week. Temperatures will return to a more summer-like heat, but we'll see showers continuing next week as well."
| National Crop Progress Summary | ||||
| This | Last | Last | 5-Year | |
| Week | Week | Year | Avg. | |
| Corn silking | 9 | 5 | 7 | 6 |
| Soybeans emerged | 96 | 93 | 93 | 95 |
| Soybeans blooming | 19 | 9 | 16 | 15 |
| Soybeans setting pods | 4 | NA | 3 | 2 |
| Winter wheat harvested | 48 | 40 | 34 | 39 |
| Spring wheat headed | 32 | 16 | 35 | 34 |
| Cotton planted | 97 | 92 | 95 | 97 |
| Cotton squaring | 37 | 27 | 38 | 36 |
| Cotton setting bolls | 9 | 5 | 8 | 9 |
| Sorghum planted | 91 | 84 | 91 | 92 |
| Sorghum headed | 19 | NA | 17 | 19 |
| Oats headed | 74 | 61 | 72 | 70 |
| Barley headed | 39 | 20 | 32 | 32 |
| Rice headed | 19 | 13 | 18 | 14 |
| Peanuts pegging | 38 | 23 | 39 | 37 |
**
| National Crop Condition Summary | |||||
| (VP=Very Poor; P=Poor; F=Fair; G=Good; E=Excellent) | |||||
| VP | P | F | G | E | |
| Corn | |||||
| This Week | 2 | 6 | 25 | 53 | 14 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 5 | 26 | 56 | 12 |
| Prev Year | 1 | 4 | 22 | 58 | 15 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 5 | 10 | 26 | 46 | 13 |
| Soybeans | |||||
| This Week | 2 | 6 | 27 | 55 | 10 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 5 | 28 | 56 | 10 |
| Prev Year | 2 | 5 | 27 | 55 | 11 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 4 | 10 | 28 | 47 | 11 |
| Spring Wheat | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 6 | 34 | 55 | 4 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 5 | 40 | 50 | 4 |
| Prev Year | 1 | 13 | 33 | 48 | 5 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 8 | 16 | 29 | 40 | 7 |
| Winter Wheat | |||||
| This Week | 21 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 4 |
| Prev Week | 20 | 26 | 28 | 22 | 4 |
| Prev Year | 6 | 14 | 32 | 41 | 7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 14 | 18 | 31 | 32 | 6 |
| Rice | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 3 | 22 | 56 | 18 |
| Prev Week | 0 | 2 | 27 | 55 | 16 |
| Prev Year | 0 | 2 | 18 | 56 | 24 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 1 | 3 | 22 | 58 | 17 |
| Oats | |||||
| This Week | 8 | 13 | 27 | 45 | 7 |
| Prev Week | 7 | 12 | 28 | 47 | 6 |
| Prev Year | 6 | 9 | 24 | 54 | 7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 7 | 9 | 30 | 48 | 6 |
| Barley | |||||
| This Week | 1 | 7 | 40 | 49 | 3 |
| Prev Week | 1 | 5 | 45 | 47 | 2 |
| Prev Year | 1 | 11 | 45 | 41 | 2 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 1 | 7 | 39 | 48 | 4 |
| Peanuts | |||||
| This Week | 2 | 6 | 30 | 56 | 6 |
| Prev Week | 2 | 5 | 30 | 58 | 5 |
| Prev Year | 0 | 3 | 25 | 62 | 10 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 2 | 8 | 32 | 51 | 7 |
| Cotton | |||||
| This Week | 4 | 12 | 36 | 41 | 7 |
| Prev Week | 3 | 10 | 34 | 45 | 8 |
| Prev Year | 5 | 12 | 32 | 44 | 7 |
| DTN 5-Yr Avg | 12 | 17 | 30 | 34 | 6 |
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